- Yes - economic crisis continues.
- Political crisis continues too - Rousseff hugely unpopular.
- Petrobras corruption scandal moving closer to her as investigators arrest corporate, financial, judicial & political grandees.
- Both are authoritarian, populist leaders with big egos, thrive on confrontation, and are preoccupied with national pride.
- Not a lot of warmth between them (publicly or in private).
- Differing Syria strategies - Turkey wants Assad removed, Russia wants him to stay.
- EU wants Turkey (which currently has 2.5m refugees on its soil) to become a migrant buffer, instead of a gateway.
- So Brussels is ignoring Erdogan's autocratic drift, and is showering Turkey with political and financial favours.
- In return, Turkey would stem the flow by providing job and education opportunities for refugees, and tighten border controls.
- Argentina votes for change and moves to right.
- Conservative Mauricio Macri narrowly defeats populist/Peronist Scioli.
- Voters seek reboot after 12 years of mismanagement under Kirchner husband-wife duo.
- Prefers to join an accord by executive agreement (i.e. a swish of Obama's pen).
- If accord contains legally binding obligations, Obama will need to put it to the Senate.
- But the Republican majority in the Senate is hostile to scientific consensus vis-à-vis climate change.
- Because there's a divide between rich and poor nations.
- Rich nations' industrialisation resulted in global warming - now poor nations want their own share of industrial wealth.
- Also, the Republican party in the US is hostile to to scientific consensus vis-à-vis climate change.
- Aung San Suu Kyi's opposition party's (NLD) historic win against ruling military-backed elite.
- Despite landslide electoral win, 25% of parliamentary seats are allocated to the military, so they will have huge influence.
- So she will need to work with them.