Category: Politics

Macrosnap Turkey politics?

  • General election June 7 - ruling Justice & Development party (AKP) expected to win.
  • If current president Recep Erdogan wins super majority, he will try to shift Turkey from a parliamentary system to a presidential one.
  • Erdogan's presidency is characterised by a neo-Islamist, intrusive, growing authoritarian rule.
3565

Macrosnap Poland politics?

  • Seismic shift to the right in presidential poll as Andrzej Duda wins.
  • His Law & Justice party = nationalist, eurosceptic, socially conservative.
  • He was backed by anti-establishment youth & the elderly - his victory signals bumpy relations with Brussels & Berlin ahead.
3551

Macrosnap Spain politics?

  • Recent regional & local elections have changed political backdrop from 2-party to 4-party contest.
  • Ruling Popular party (PP) lost heavily (but still dominant political force) - traditional Socialist opposition did even worse.
  • Political newcomers Podemos & Ciudadanos did well.
3548

Different strategies of al-Qaeda and ISIS to establish an Islamic state?

  • Al-Qaeda: Attack US, long term vision, win hearts & minds, don't alienate fellow Muslims.
  • ISIS: Attack anyone, indiscriminate brutality.
  • This strategic (medium/long-term) difference also evident from a tactical (short-term) perspective, where ISIS makes al-Qaeda look almost moderate.
3540

Brazil’s political quagmire?

  • Plus ça change: Petrobras scandal continues, PM Rousseff remains weak, political system seems broken.
  • Continued & crippling bickering between PM and Congress - political machine seems to have lost credibility in eyes of voters.
  • Best described as awkward cocktail of parliamentarianism and presidentialism.
3508

Modi’s 3-phased Indian foreign policy?

  • Phase 1 = actively repair relations with S-Asian neighbours (progress made).
  • Phase 2 = engage with global & Pacific powers, i.e. Japan, US & China (in progress).
  • Phase 3 = address rising China military and economic influence by (soft power) wooing of countries on China's periphery (beginning).
3506

India’s China concerns?

  • India concerned about rising China military and economic regional influence.
  • India economy one fifth the size, and military weaker.
  • China has been wooing India's neighbours, now India courting China's neighbours - game of soft power to gain influence.
3504
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