Category: Politics

Macrosnap Taiwan-China 1949 rift?

  • Civil war in China 1927-1950 (Communists vs. Kuomintang).
  • Mao Zedong's Communists take power in Beijing in 1949.
  • Chiang Kai-shek's Kuomintang nationalists form their own government in Taiwan - China considers it a renegade province.

Egypt political Macrosnap?

  • 2013: Sisi (army chief) overthrows post-Mubarak, newly-elected Islamist government (of President Morsi) in popularly backed coup.
  • 2014: Sisi wins Presidential election - starts clamping down on any dissent.
  • 2015: Sisi authoritarianism re-ignites old confrontation in Egypt between radical Islamists & army - volatile situation.

Why is Erdoğan’s election win in Turkey worrying?

  • Formerly Erdoğan was a uniting figure for Turkey, but now he rules by divisiveness.
  • The identity of his ruling party now = Sunni, Islamist, Turkish.
  • Shia, secularists & Kurds made to feel left out.

Macrosnap Myanmar general election this weekend?

  • In power: Military-backed ruling party.
  • Opposition: Aung San Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD)
  • Impossible to predict outcome as limited polling data.

Macrosnap Turkey Election?


What are Turkey’s chronic internal rifts?

  • Secularists vs. Islamists.
  • Turks vs. Kurds.
  • Westernised urban elite vs. religious/conservative rural masses.

How come EU is so soft on Turkey’s strongman Erdogan?

  • 2.3m Syrian refugees in Turkey.
  • EU scared of them slipping into Europe.
  • Therefore tolerating Turkey's slide to one-man rule.

What is the People’s Democratic Party (HDP) in Turkey?

  • Pro Kurdish political party.
  • Alliance of leftists, Kurds, women's rights and gay rights activists.
  • Won 13% of parliamentary vote in June and expected to do just as well in November rerun.

Macrosnap Kurds in Turkey?

  • Population = 15m.
  • Participate in national elections and have recently seen success through the pro-Kurd coalition Party the HDP.
  • Kurdish militants, the Kurdistan Worker's Party (PKK) in armed conflict with the government and is designated a terrorist organisation by the EU.

Explain November Turkey parliamentary election?

  • Rerun of June election which resulted in historic inclusion of a pro-Kurd party, the HDP.
  • But election resulted in a split parliament, failed coalition talks, hence the rerun.
  • If HDP wins more than the 10% threshold for parliamentary representation, might derail Erdogan's power consolidation plans.
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