This weekend’s Nigeria election?

  • Expected will be very tight - biggest challenge to an incumbent since 1999 restoration of civilian rule (backdrop = weak economy + insurgency in north).
  • Incumbent: Goodluck Jonathan - seeking 2nd term, southern base, Christian, standing for reliability, continuity & security.
  • Challenger: Muhammadu Buhari - former general, northern base, muslim, standing for "change" (anti-corruption) & security.
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